Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000197 0.000236 0.000285
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000106 0.000132 0.000167 0.000212 0.000270 0.000349
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000096 0.000125 0.000166 0.000221 0.000296 0.000404
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000090 0.000122 0.000168 0.000235 0.000328 0.000470
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000083 0.000116 0.000166 0.000240 0.000348 0.000522
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000078 0.000112 0.000164 0.000246 0.000370 0.000577
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000072 0.000107 0.000161 0.000249 0.000387 0.000627
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000156 0.000248 0.000397 0.000666
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000064 0.000098 0.000157 0.000255 0.000421 0.000731
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000159 0.000266 0.000452 0.000812
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000268 0.000467 0.000865
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000054 0.000088 0.000149 0.000263 0.000471 0.000900
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000086 0.000150 0.000271 0.000500 0.000992
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000152 0.000283 0.000538 0.001105
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000151 0.000288 0.000563 0.001196
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000153 0.000300 0.000603 0.001326
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000151 0.000302 0.000624 0.001416
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000150 0.000306 0.000648 0.001517
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000147 0.000307 0.000665 0.001602
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000142 0.000303 0.000671 0.001661
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000143 0.000310 0.000703 0.001793
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000145 0.000321 0.000747 0.001966